Session day
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
Jobs
Each job in the order it ran. A job that was due shows as missing once its engine's runs from a later day are in without it.
| Time (ET) | Job | Outcome | What it does | Took | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:30 | desk-backup | ran | everything the server keeps for the engine (its books and reference data, the run records, Alpaca's reads and the logs) copied to cloud storage; what each copy replaces or removes is kept for 90 days | 4 s | — |
| 09:20 | syseq-intraday | failed | the day-trading session: prepare at 09:20, trade 09:30 to 16:00, settle after 16:16 | 6 h 56 min | — |
| 15:40 | syseq-scan | ran | the near-close scan: v2b, its shadow, Turnaround Tuesday, then the DAILY account's orders | 19 min 5 s | — |
| 15:59 | desk-backup | ran | everything the server keeps for the engine (its books and reference data, the run records, Alpaca's reads and the logs) copied to cloud storage; what each copy replaces or removes is kept for 90 days | 5 s | — |
| 16:16 | desk-backup | ran | everything the server keeps for the engine (its books and reference data, the run records, Alpaca's reads and the logs) copied to cloud storage; what each copy replaces or removes is kept for 90 days | 5 s | — |
| 16:35 | desk-backup | ran | everything the server keeps for the engine (its books and reference data, the run records, Alpaca's reads and the logs) copied to cloud storage; what each copy replaces or removes is kept for 90 days | 5 s | — |
| 16:35 | syseq-settle | ran | every book at the official close, the trade journal, the after-close scans | 45 s | — |
| 20:30 | odte-forward | deferred | protocol 2's forward log (B0, V2, F2) | 0 s | — |
| 21:00 | odte-forward-v5 | missing | protocol 3's information log | — | No run recorded. |
| 21:15 | odte-forward-p4 | missing | protocol 4's log (P4-GAP and five information rules) | — | No run recorded. |
DAILY · Systematic equity
Decided at 15:41 ET
Account DAILY; Alpaca equity at the settle $989,739.35
What the rules decided (34)
| Strategy | Book | Time (ET) | Symbol | Action | Qty | Why | The rule's numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turnaround Tuesday on SPY and QQQ shares | tt | 15:41 ET | SPY | flat | — | flat: not a Monday | 4 numbers
|
| Turnaround Tuesday on SPY and QQQ shares | tt | 15:41 ET | QQQ | flat | — | flat: not a Monday | 4 numbers
|
| IBS on SPY and QQQ | ibs | 15:41 ET | SPY | flat | — | flat: no entry | 4 numbers
|
| IBS on SPY and QQQ | ibs | 15:41 ET | QQQ | exit | — | exit | 4 numbers
|
| RSI(2) on SPY and QQQ | rsi2 | 15:41 ET | SPY | hold | — | hold | 4 numbers
|
| RSI(2) on SPY and QQQ | rsi2 | 15:41 ET | QQQ | hold | — | hold | 4 numbers
|
| Double 7s on SPY and QQQ | d7 | 15:41 ET | SPY | hold | — | hold | 4 numbers
|
| Double 7s on SPY and QQQ | d7 | 15:41 ET | QQQ | hold | — | hold | 4 numbers
|
| The 200-day trend on SPY and QQQ | tr200 | 15:41 ET | SPY | hold | — | hold | 4 numbers
|
| The 200-day trend on SPY and QQQ | tr200 | 15:41 ET | QQQ | hold | — | hold | 4 numbers
|
| v2b on Alpaca paper | v2b | 15:41 ET | BNY | sell | 15 | close>sma_exit | 10 numbers
|
| v2b on Alpaca paper | v2b | 15:41 ET | INCY | sell | 18 | close>sma_exit | 10 numbers
|
| v2b on Alpaca paper | v2b | 15:41 ET | PFG | sell | 19 | close>sma_exit | 10 numbers
|
| v2b on Alpaca paper | v2b | 15:41 ET | SWKS | sell | 28 | close>sma_exit | 10 numbers
|
| v2b on Alpaca paper | v2b | 15:41 ET | VRTX | sell | 4 | close>sma_exit | 10 numbers
|
| v2b on Alpaca paper | v2b | 15:41 ET | DELL | buy | 4 | entry rank 1 rsi 1.3 | 10 numbers
|
| v2b on Alpaca paper | v2b | 15:41 ET | KEYS | buy | 6 | entry rank 2 rsi 2.3 | 10 numbers
|
| v2b on Alpaca paper | v2b | 15:41 ET | ANET | buy | 11 | entry rank 3 rsi 2.5 | 10 numbers
|
| v2b on Alpaca paper | v2b | 15:41 ET | HPE | buy | 36 | entry rank 4 rsi 2.6 | 10 numbers
|
| v2b on Alpaca paper | v2b | 15:41 ET | SNPS | buy | 4 | entry rank 5 rsi 4.0 | 10 numbers
|
| v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | v2b-tom | 15:41 ET | BNY | sell | 15 | close>sma_exit | 10 numbers
|
| v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | v2b-tom | 15:41 ET | INCY | sell | 18 | close>sma_exit | 10 numbers
|
| v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | v2b-tom | 15:41 ET | PFG | sell | 19 | close>sma_exit | 10 numbers
|
| v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | v2b-tom | 15:41 ET | SWKS | sell | 28 | close>sma_exit | 10 numbers
|
| v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | v2b-tom | 15:41 ET | VRTX | sell | 4 | close>sma_exit | 10 numbers
|
| v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | v2b-tom | 15:41 ET | DELL | buy | 4 | entry rank 1 rsi 1.3 | 10 numbers
|
| v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | v2b-tom | 15:41 ET | KEYS | buy | 6 | entry rank 2 rsi 2.3 | 10 numbers
|
| v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | v2b-tom | 15:41 ET | ANET | buy | 11 | entry rank 3 rsi 2.5 | 10 numbers
|
| v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | v2b-tom | 15:41 ET | HPE | buy | 36 | entry rank 4 rsi 2.6 | 10 numbers
|
| v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | v2b-tom | 15:41 ET | SNPS | buy | 4 | entry rank 5 rsi 4.0 | 10 numbers
|
| v2b's pullback in leading industries | o11 | 15:41 ET | INCY | sell | 44 | close>sma_exit | 12 numbers
|
| v2b's pullback in leading industries | o11 | 15:41 ET | VRTX | sell | 10 | close>sma_exit | 12 numbers
|
| v2b's pullback in leading industries | o11 | 15:41 ET | KEYS | buy | 13 | entry rank 1 rsi 2.3 | 12 numbers
|
| v2b's pullback in leading industries | o11 | 15:41 ET | SNPS | buy | 10 | entry rank 2 rsi 4.0 | 12 numbers
|
Orders sent (11)
| Book | Symbol | Side | Qty | Kind | Status | Filled | Average | Close | Against the close | Sent (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| netted | ANET | buy | 22 | — | filled | 22 | 185.098182 | 185.580002 | −26.0 bp | 15:55 ET |
| netted | BNY | sell | 30 | — | filled | 30 | 142.486667 | 142.089996 | −27.9 bp | 15:55 ET |
| netted | DELL | buy | 8 | — | filled | 8 | 467.15 | 473.390015 | −131.8 bp | 15:55 ET |
| netted | HPE | buy | 72 | — | filled | 72 | 58.68 | 58.630001 | +8.5 bp | 15:55 ET |
| netted | INCY | sell | 80 | — | filled | 80 | 113.242 | 113.269997 | +2.5 bp | 15:55 ET |
| netted | KEYS | buy | 25 | — | filled | 25 | 341.57 | 342.079987 | −14.9 bp | 15:55 ET |
| netted | PFG | sell | 38 | — | filled | 38 | 108.86 | 108.959999 | +9.2 bp | 15:55 ET |
| netted | QQQ | sell | 68 | — | filled | 68 | 728.062794 | 728.00 | −0.9 bp | 15:55 ET |
| netted | SNPS | buy | 18 | — | filled | 18 | 468.77 | 468.109985 | +14.1 bp | 15:55 ET |
| netted | SWKS | sell | 56 | — | filled | 56 | 78.74 | 79.099998 | +45.5 bp | 15:55 ET |
| netted | VRTX | sell | 18 | — | filled | 18 | 509.54 | 508.75 | −15.5 bp | 15:55 ET |
Filled orders against the close
DAILY: each order's fill against the close — data table
| Symbol | Side | Filled | Average price | Close | Against the close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANET | buy | 22 | 185.098182 | 185.580002 | −26.0 bp |
| BNY | sell | 30 | 142.486667 | 142.089996 | −27.9 bp |
| DELL | buy | 8 | 467.15 | 473.390015 | −131.8 bp |
| HPE | buy | 72 | 58.68 | 58.630001 | +8.5 bp |
| INCY | sell | 80 | 113.242 | 113.269997 | +2.5 bp |
| KEYS | buy | 25 | 341.57 | 342.079987 | −14.9 bp |
| PFG | sell | 38 | 108.86 | 108.959999 | +9.2 bp |
| QQQ | sell | 68 | 728.062794 | 728.00 | −0.9 bp |
| SNPS | buy | 18 | 468.77 | 468.109985 | +14.1 bp |
| SWKS | sell | 56 | 78.74 | 79.099998 | +45.5 bp |
| VRTX | sell | 18 | 509.54 | 508.75 | −15.5 bp |
What filled (25)
| Book | Strategy | Symbol | Side | Qty | Asked | Price | Rule's price | Close | At (ET) | How | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| v2b | v2b on Alpaca paper | BNY | sell | 15 | 15 | 142.486667 | 141.789993 | 142.089996 | — | signal | close>sma_exit |
| v2b-tom | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | BNY | sell | 15 | 15 | 142.486667 | 141.789993 | 142.089996 | — | signal | close>sma_exit |
| v2b | v2b on Alpaca paper | INCY | sell | 18 | 18 | 113.242 | 113.605003 | 113.269997 | — | signal | close>sma_exit |
| v2b-tom | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | INCY | sell | 18 | 18 | 113.242 | 113.605003 | 113.269997 | — | signal | close>sma_exit |
| o11 | v2b's pullback in leading industries | INCY | sell | 44 | 44 | 113.242 | 113.605003 | 113.269997 | — | signal | close>sma_exit |
| v2b | v2b on Alpaca paper | PFG | sell | 19 | 19 | 108.86 | 108.315002 | 108.959999 | — | signal | close>sma_exit |
| v2b-tom | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | PFG | sell | 19 | 19 | 108.86 | 108.315002 | 108.959999 | — | signal | close>sma_exit |
| ibs | IBS on SPY and QQQ | QQQ | sell | 68 | 68 | 728.062794 | 728.599976 | 728.00 | — | signal | exit |
| v2b | v2b on Alpaca paper | SWKS | sell | 28 | 28 | 78.74 | 78.514999 | 79.099998 | — | signal | close>sma_exit |
| v2b-tom | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | SWKS | sell | 28 | 28 | 78.74 | 78.514999 | 79.099998 | — | signal | close>sma_exit |
| v2b | v2b on Alpaca paper | VRTX | sell | 4 | 4 | 509.54 | 508.63501 | 508.75 | — | signal | close>sma_exit |
| v2b-tom | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | VRTX | sell | 4 | 4 | 509.54 | 508.63501 | 508.75 | — | signal | close>sma_exit |
| o11 | v2b's pullback in leading industries | VRTX | sell | 10 | 10 | 509.54 | 508.63501 | 508.75 | — | signal | close>sma_exit |
| v2b | v2b on Alpaca paper | ANET | buy | 11 | 11 | 185.098182 | 185.214996 | 185.580002 | — | signal | entry rank 3 rsi 2.5 |
| v2b-tom | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | ANET | buy | 11 | 11 | 185.098182 | 185.214996 | 185.580002 | — | signal | entry rank 3 rsi 2.5 |
| v2b | v2b on Alpaca paper | DELL | buy | 4 | 4 | 467.15 | 467.01001 | 473.390015 | — | signal | entry rank 1 rsi 1.3 |
| v2b-tom | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | DELL | buy | 4 | 4 | 467.15 | 467.01001 | 473.390015 | — | signal | entry rank 1 rsi 1.3 |
| v2b | v2b on Alpaca paper | HPE | buy | 36 | 36 | 58.68 | 59.02 | 58.630001 | — | signal | entry rank 4 rsi 2.6 |
| v2b-tom | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | HPE | buy | 36 | 36 | 58.68 | 59.02 | 58.630001 | — | signal | entry rank 4 rsi 2.6 |
| v2b | v2b on Alpaca paper | KEYS | buy | 6 | 6 | 341.57 | 342.220001 | 342.079987 | — | signal | entry rank 2 rsi 2.3 |
| v2b-tom | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | KEYS | buy | 6 | 6 | 341.57 | 342.220001 | 342.079987 | — | signal | entry rank 2 rsi 2.3 |
| o11 | v2b's pullback in leading industries | KEYS | buy | 13 | 13 | 341.57 | 342.220001 | 342.079987 | — | signal | entry rank 1 rsi 2.3 |
| v2b | v2b on Alpaca paper | SNPS | buy | 4 | 4 | 468.77 | 467.570007 | 468.109985 | — | signal | entry rank 5 rsi 4.0 |
| v2b-tom | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | SNPS | buy | 4 | 4 | 468.77 | 467.570007 | 468.109985 | — | signal | entry rank 5 rsi 4.0 |
| o11 | v2b's pullback in leading industries | SNPS | buy | 10 | 10 | 468.77 | 467.570007 | 468.109985 | — | signal | entry rank 2 rsi 4.0 |
12 trades opened
13 trades closed
The books at the close
| Book | Strategy | Allocation | Value | Total | Rule value | Cash | Joined |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| d7 | Double 7s on SPY and QQQ | $100,000.00 | $99,004.17 | $99,164.29 | — | $833.61 | Sep 30, 2026 |
| ibs | IBS on SPY and QQQ | $100,000.00 | $100,003.23 | $100,186.28 | — | $100,003.23 | Sep 30, 2026 |
| o11 | v2b's pullback in leading industries | $100,000.00 | $92,625.28 | $92,684.02 | — | $5,577.02 | Oct 7, 2026 |
| rsi2 | RSI(2) on SPY and QQQ | $100,000.00 | $100,189.74 | $100,365.89 | — | $519.39 | Sep 30, 2026 |
| tr200 | The 200-day trend on SPY and QQQ | $100,000.00 | $99,259.04 | $99,298.25 | — | $1,088.48 | Sep 30, 2026 |
| tt | Turnaround Tuesday on SPY and QQQ shares | $100,000.00 | $100,000.00 | $100,192.28 | — | $100,000.00 | Sep 30, 2026 |
| v2b | v2b on Alpaca paper | $100,000.00 | $99,324.06 | $99,360.58 | — | $5,160.86 | Sep 30, 2026 |
| v2b-tom | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | $100,000.00 | $99,279.60 | $99,315.83 | — | $5,116.40 | Sep 30, 2026 |
The session's numbers
- sent
- true
- index_snapshot_last_bar
- 2026-10-15 15:40:27-04:00
Cost model
Alpaca paper fills, with no commission; shares one sub-book buys and another sells at the same close meet inside the account at the official close, and every leg on the larger side gets one average of that price and Alpaca's fill. A sub-book's value has no dividends and no interest, as Alpaca's paper account pays neither; its total adds the dividends and the T-bill interest on positive cash that a real account would have received. Each settle checks that the sub-books' positions add up to the account's, share for share. Their values do not add up to the equity shown: part of the account is held outside the sub-books, as a buffer, and the equity is Alpaca's own figure, read when the session was settled, at Alpaca's prices then and after Alpaca's SEC and CAT fees, charged by the day.
INTRA1 · Systematic equity
Account INTRA1
What the rules decided (3)
| Strategy | Book | Time (ET) | Symbol | Action | Qty | Why | The rule's numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq opening-range retest | pat | 09:45 ET | — | range | — | range 717.01-720.74 | 2 numbers
|
| Nasdaq opening-range retest | pat | 09:55 ET | — | no_more_entries | — | no more entries: one setup a day | 1 number
|
| Nasdaq opening-range retest | pat | 09:55 ET | — | refused | — | short breakout on 5-minute bar 4; the trend refuses it | 3 numbers
|
The books at the close
| Book | Strategy | Allocation | Value | Total | Rule value | Cash | Joined |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| orb reserved | Stocks-in-play breakout | $45,000.00 | — | — | — | — | — |
| pat | Nasdaq opening-range retest | $45,000.00 | $43,966.23 | $43,955.62 | $43,630.24 | $43,966.23 | — |
Events
- 09:20 ET · pat · trading
- 09:45 ET · pat · range 717.01-720.74
- 09:55 ET · pat · no more entries: one setup a day
- 09:55 ET · pat · short breakout on 5-minute bar 4; the trend refuses it
Warnings
- no recent IEX trade for ten minutes
Notes
- 13:05:35 closing everything for the day: no recent IEX trade for ten minutes
The session's numbers
- phase
- settled
- inputs_pat
- tick
- 0.00608455799041006
- trend_up
- 1
Cost model
Alpaca paper fills as filled. A book's value is before commission and before Alpaca's SEC and CAT fees, charged by the day; its total takes off an estimated $0.007 a share a side, the rate at the owner's own broker; the rule value is the rule's own replay on SIP bars, after the research's own costs: $0.0035 a share a side in commission for the noise area and $0.007 for the other rules, and a cent a share of slippage on every fill except a resting limit order's and the noise area's exit at the close. The account's equity, cash, buying power and market values, where shown, are Alpaca's own figures, read after the close at Alpaca's prices then and after Alpaca's SEC and CAT fees, charged by the day. Part of the account is held outside its books, as a buffer and, on INTRA1, a reserved book, so the books' values do not add up to the equity.
INTRA2 · Systematic equity
Account INTRA2
What the rules decided (17)
| Strategy | Book | Time (ET) | Symbol | Action | Qty | Why | The rule's numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noise area | noise | 10:00 ET | SPY | open | — | SPY: open 766.24, previous close 769.60, leverage 3.60, 109 shares a leg | 4 numbers
|
| Noise area | noise | 10:00 ET | SPY | flat | — | — | 6 numbers
|
| Noise area | noise | 10:00 ET | QQQ | open | — | QQQ: open 718.55, previous close 728.95, leverage 2.29, 74 shares a leg | 4 numbers
|
| Noise area | noise | 10:00 ET | QQQ | flat | — | — | 6 numbers
|
| Noise area | noise | 10:30 ET | SPY | flat | — | — | 6 numbers
|
| Noise area | noise | 10:30 ET | QQQ | flat | — | — | 6 numbers
|
| Noise area | noise | 11:00 ET | SPY | flat | — | — | 6 numbers
|
| Noise area | noise | 11:00 ET | QQQ | flat | — | — | 6 numbers
|
| Noise area | noise | 11:30 ET | SPY | flat | — | — | 6 numbers
|
| Noise area | noise | 11:30 ET | QQQ | flat | — | — | 6 numbers
|
| Noise area | noise | 12:00 ET | SPY | flat | — | — | 6 numbers
|
| Noise area | noise | 12:00 ET | QQQ | flat | — | — | 6 numbers
|
| Noise area | noise | 12:30 ET | SPY | flat | — | — | 6 numbers
|
| Noise area | noise | 12:30 ET | QQQ | flat | — | — | 6 numbers
|
| Noise area | noise | 13:00 ET | SPY | flat | — | — | 6 numbers
|
| Noise area | noise | 13:00 ET | QQQ | flat | — | — | 6 numbers
|
| Noise area | noise | 13:05 ET | — | no_more_entries | — | no more entries: no recent IEX trade for ten minutes | 1 number
|
The books at the close
| Book | Strategy | Allocation | Value | Total | Rule value | Cash | Joined |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| crabel | Crabel's opening range | $45,000.00 | $44,863.25 | $44,846.95 | $44,967.04 | $44,863.25 | — |
| noise | Noise area | $45,000.00 | $46,683.99 | $46,667.04 | $45,869.95 | $46,683.99 | — |
Events
- 09:20 ET · noise · trading
- 09:20 ET · crabel · no entries today
- 10:00 ET · noise · SPY: open 766.24, previous close 769.60, leverage 3.60, 109 shares a leg
- 10:00 ET · noise · SPY 10:00 check: flat: 765.48 in [765.30, 770.54], VWAP 765.79
- 10:00 ET · noise · QQQ: open 718.55, previous close 728.95, leverage 2.29, 74 shares a leg
- 10:00 ET · noise · QQQ 10:00 check: flat: 717.01 in [716.70, 730.82], VWAP 718.44
- 10:30 ET · noise · SPY 10:30 check: flat: 767.39 in [764.78, 771.07], VWAP 766.37
- 10:30 ET · noise · QQQ 10:30 check: flat: 720.18 in [716.04, 731.50], VWAP 718.73
- 11:00 ET · noise · SPY 11:00 check: flat: 769.59 in [764.51, 771.34], VWAP 766.89
- 11:00 ET · noise · QQQ 11:00 check: flat: 723.76 in [716.29, 731.24], VWAP 719.42
- 11:30 ET · noise · SPY 11:30 check: flat: 770.24 in [764.18, 771.67], VWAP 767.65
- 11:30 ET · noise · QQQ 11:30 check: flat: 724.56 in [715.95, 731.59], VWAP 720.13
- 12:00 ET · noise · SPY 12:00 check: flat: 770.41 in [764.23, 771.62], VWAP 767.85
- 12:00 ET · noise · QQQ 12:00 check: flat: 724.96 in [715.82, 731.72], VWAP 720.43
- 12:30 ET · noise · SPY 12:30 check: flat: 769.28 in [764.23, 771.62], VWAP 767.98
- 12:30 ET · noise · QQQ 12:30 check: flat: 722.84 in [715.83, 731.71], VWAP 720.66
- 13:00 ET · noise · SPY 13:00 check: flat: 769.56 in [764.13, 771.72], VWAP 768.10
- 13:00 ET · noise · QQQ 13:00 check: flat: 723.07 in [715.33, 732.22], VWAP 720.78
- 13:05 ET · noise · no more entries: no recent IEX trade for ten minutes
Warnings
- no recent IEX trade for ten minutes
Notes
- 13:05:35 closing everything for the day: no recent IEX trade for ten minutes
The session's numbers
- phase
- settled
- inputs_noise
- QQQ.leverage
- 2.2858379810597054
- SPY.leverage
- 3.595881504038996
- QQQ.prev_close
- 728.95
- SPY.prev_close
- 769.6
- QQQ.sigma_10:00
- 0.0025720048701330456
- SPY.sigma_10:00
- 0.0012252998864704181
- inputs_crabel
- armed
- false
- stretch
- 1.5989990234375
- qqq_over_qqqm
- 2.4287808616266284
Cost model
Alpaca paper fills as filled. A book's value is before commission and before Alpaca's SEC and CAT fees, charged by the day; its total takes off an estimated $0.007 a share a side, the rate at the owner's own broker; the rule value is the rule's own replay on SIP bars, after the research's own costs: $0.0035 a share a side in commission for the noise area and $0.007 for the other rules, and a cent a share of slippage on every fill except a resting limit order's and the noise area's exit at the close. The account's equity, cash, buying power and market values, where shown, are Alpaca's own figures, read after the close at Alpaca's prices then and after Alpaca's SEC and CAT fees, charged by the day. Part of the account is held outside its books, as a buffer and, on INTRA1, a reserved book, so the books' values do not add up to the equity.
MA · market-analysis
Account MA
What the rules decided (2)
| Strategy | Book | Time (ET) | Symbol | Action | Qty | Why | The rule's numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | SPY | ON | — | ON | 6 numbers
|
| — | — | — | QQQ | ON | — | ON | 6 numbers
|
Warnings
- prices.parquet ends 2026-10-09, BEFORE the 2026-10-15 trade date -- any lane reading it gets a stale regime/factor read. Rebuild: python3 scripts/truthset/build_prices.py
- returns.parquet ends 2026-10-09, BEFORE the 2026-10-15 trade date -- any lane reading it gets a stale regime/factor read. Rebuild: python3 scripts/truthset/build_returns.py
- features.parquet ends 2026-10-09, BEFORE the 2026-10-15 trade date -- any lane reading it gets a stale regime/factor read. Rebuild: python3 scripts/truthset/build_features.py
The session's numbers
- sa
- graded
- 3
- candidates
- 0
- exploration
- 4
- ledger
- graded
- 3
- emitted
- 0
- skipped
- 0
- wb_graded
- 623
- wb_emitted
- 136
- ledger_open
- true
- exploration_emitted
- 4
- exploration_skipped
- 0
- season
- S3
- gate_next
- QQQ
- ON
- SPY
- ON
- sb_running
- champion.QQQ-IC.n
- 1
- champion.QQQ-PS.n
- 1
- champion.SPY-PS.n
- 1
- exploration.QQQ-IC.n
- 1
- exploration.QQQ-PS.n
- 2
- exploration.SPY-IC.n
- 1
- exploration.SPY-PS.n
- 2
- champion.QQQ-IC.net_usd_total
- 321.6345929742653
- champion.QQQ-PS.net_usd_total
- 224.5288093229141
- champion.SPY-PS.net_usd_total
- 155.40165416388209
- exploration.QQQ-IC.net_usd_total
- 321.6345929742653
- exploration.QQQ-PS.net_usd_total
- 436.71955422489754
- exploration.SPY-IC.net_usd_total
- 170.81409021866043
- exploration.SPY-PS.net_usd_total
- 279.72035588254255
- is_entry_day
- false
- watch_basket
- vol
- 1
- long
- 60
- short
- 75
- conflict
- 94
- available
- true
- sc_candidates
- 0
- sc_exploration
- signals_schema
- d1.6
- index_vol_through
- 2026-10-15
- Record GitHub ledger
Cost model: S-B QQQ iron condor and 7 more
half of each leg's quoted spread plus $0.65 a contract at entry; $0.65 a contract at expiry
For S-B QQQ iron condor, S-B QQQ put spread, S-B SPY iron condor, S-B SPY put spread, S-B QQQ iron condor, exploration, S-B QQQ put spread, exploration, S-B SPY iron condor, exploration and S-B SPY put spread, exploration.
- Record GitHub ledger
Cost model: S-C C1 iron butterfly and 2 more
half of each leg's spread plus $0.65 a contract at entry, the spread quoted from 15:00 to 16:00 ET or, for a wing priced by model, the stock's median option spread over the 20 sessions before, at least 5%; nothing at expiry
For S-C C1 iron butterfly, S-C C2 iron butterfly and S-C C1 iron butterfly, exploration.
- Record GitHub ledger
Cost model: S-C C1 short straddle and 2 more
half of each leg's quoted spread from 15:00 to 16:00 ET plus $0.65 a contract at entry; nothing at expiry
For S-C C1 short straddle, S-C C2 short straddle and S-C C1 short straddle, exploration.
forward · 0DTE forward logs
The session's numbers
- entries
- B0
- 1
- F2
- 1
- V2
- 1
- coverage
- QQQ.rows
- 31866
- SPY.rows
- 26203
- QQQ.partial
- false
- SPY.partial
- false
- QQQ.early_close
- false
- SPY.early_close
- false
- QQQ.contracts_0dte
- 46
- SPY.contracts_0dte
- 34
- QQQ.longest_gap_min
- 1
- SPY.longest_gap_min
- 1
- triggers
- 9
Cost model
$0.01 a side and $0.65 a contract a side, on 1-minute OPRA bars; a ladder sale is at its level
forward-v5 · 0DTE forward logs
The session's numbers
- entries
- v5-G
- 1
- info-A
- 1
- info-C
- 1
- info-E
- 1
- info-G
- 1
- funnels
- v5-A.SPY.room
- 1
- info-A.SPY.room
- 1
- info-C.SPY.room
- 1
- info-D.SPY.room
- 1
- v5-A.QQQ.window
- 2
- v5-A.SPY.window
- 2
- v5-G.SPY.entries
- 1
- info-A.QQQ.window
- 2
- info-A.SPY.window
- 1
- info-B.QQQ.window
- 3
- info-B.SPY.window
- 1
- info-C.QQQ.window
- 2
- info-C.SPY.window
- 4
- info-A.SPY.entries
- 1
- info-C.SPY.entries
- 1
- info-E.QQQ.entries
- 1
- info-G.SPY.entries
- 1
- v5-A.QQQ.candidates
- 2
- v5-A.SPY.candidates
- 4
- v5-G.QQQ.candidates
- 1
- v5-G.SPY.candidates
- 1
- info-A.QQQ.candidates
- 2
- info-A.SPY.candidates
- 4
- info-B.QQQ.candidates
- 3
- info-B.SPY.candidates
- 1
- info-C.QQQ.candidates
- 4
- info-C.SPY.candidates
- 6
- info-D.SPY.candidates
- 1
- info-E.QQQ.candidates
- 1
- info-G.QQQ.candidates
- 1
- info-G.SPY.candidates
- 1
- v5-A.SPY.premium_gate
- 1
- v5-G.QQQ.premium_gate
- 1
- info-A.SPY.premium_gate
- 1
- info-C.QQQ.premium_gate
- 2
- info-G.QQQ.premium_gate
- 1
Cost model
$0.01 a side and $0.65 a contract a side, on 1-minute OPRA bars; a ladder sale is at its level; also logged at no costs and at $0.02 a side
forward-p4 · 0DTE forward logs
The session's numbers
- entries
- P4-GAP
- 2
- info-eod
- 1
- info-gap25
- 2
- info-noise
- 1
- info-gap-close
- 2
- funnels
- P4-GAP.QQQ.entries
- 1
- P4-GAP.SPY.entries
- 1
- info-eod.QQQ.entries
- 1
- P4-GAP.QQQ.candidates
- 1
- P4-GAP.SPY.candidates
- 1
- info-gap25.QQQ.entries
- 1
- info-gap25.SPY.entries
- 1
- info-noise.SPY.entries
- 1
- info-eod.QQQ.candidates
- 1
- info-gap-K.QQQ.candidates
- 1
- info-gap-K.SPY.candidates
- 1
- info-gap25.QQQ.candidates
- 1
- info-gap25.SPY.candidates
- 1
- info-noise.SPY.candidates
- 1
- info-gap-close.QQQ.entries
- 1
- info-gap-close.SPY.entries
- 1
- info-gap-K.QQQ.premium_gate
- 1
- info-gap-K.SPY.premium_gate
- 1
- info-gap-close.QQQ.candidates
- 1
- info-gap-close.SPY.candidates
- 1
- Record Forward log
Cost model: P4-GAP and 4 more
$0.01 a side and $0.65 a contract a side, on 1-minute OPRA bars; also logged at no costs and at $0.02 a side
For P4-GAP, info-eod, info-gap-K, info-gap25 and info-noise.
- Record Forward log
Cost model: info-gap-close
$0.01 a side and $0.65 a contract a side, on 1-minute OPRA bars; a ladder sale is at its level; also logged at no costs and at $0.02 a side
0DTE signals
Each signal as its log wrote it; nothing here is added up.
| Time (ET) | Log | Symbol | Side | Rules | Contract | Exit | Exit by | Net | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:36 | forward-p4 | QQQ | put | P4-GAP: ENTRY | P717 at 2.85 | 10:06 ET | time | −45.0% | (1) |
| 09:36 | forward-p4 | QQQ | put | info-gap-close: ENTRY | P717 at 2.85 | 15:55 ET | time | −100.5% | (2) |
| 09:36 | forward-p4 | QQQ | put | info-gap25: ENTRY | P717 at 2.85 | 10:06 ET | time | −45.0% | (1) |
| 09:36 | forward-p4 | SPY | put | P4-GAP: ENTRY | P765 at 1.65 | 10:06 ET | time | −40.2% | (1) |
| 09:36 | forward-p4 | SPY | put | info-gap-close: ENTRY | P765 at 1.65 | 15:55 ET | time | −100.8% | (2) |
| 09:36 | forward-p4 | SPY | put | info-gap25: ENTRY | P765 at 1.65 | 10:06 ET | time | −40.2% | (1) |
| 09:40 | forward | QQQ | call | B0: window, V2: window, F2: window | — | — | — | — | — |
| 09:54 | forward | QQQ | put | B0: window, V2: window, F2: window | — | — | — | — | — |
| 09:54 | forward | SPY | put | B0: window, V2: window, F2: window | — | — | — | — | — |
| 09:58 | forward | SPY | put | B0: window, V2: window, F2: window | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10:02 | forward | QQQ | call | B0: window, V2: window, F2: window | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10:08 | forward | QQQ | call | B0: window, V2: window, F2: window | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11:04 | forward-v5 | SPY | call | info-G: ENTRY | C772 at 0.64 | 11:33 ET | stop | −28.6% | (2) |
| 11:04 | forward-v5 | SPY | call | v5-G: ENTRY | C772 at 0.64 | 11:33 ET | stop | −28.6% | (2) |
| 12:00 | forward | SPY | call | B0: ENTRY, V2: ENTRY, F2: ENTRY | C772 at 0.60 | 12:07 ET | stop | −28.8% | (3) |
| 12:02 | forward-v5 | SPY | call | info-C: ENTRY | C773 at 0.42 | 12:03 ET | stop | −30.5% | (2) |
| 14:52 | forward-v5 | SPY | call | info-A: ENTRY | C771 at 0.33 | 15:25 ET | stop | +195.3% | (2) |
| 15:00 | forward-p4 | QQQ | put | info-eod: ENTRY | P726 at 1.11 | 15:10 ET | time | −57.0% | (1) |
| 15:00 | forward-v5 | QQQ | put | info-E: ENTRY | P724 at 0.29 | 15:00 ET | stop | −32.9% | (2) |
| 15:12 | forward-p4 | SPY | call | info-noise: ENTRY | C772 at 0.59 | 15:50 ET | stop | −38.9% | (1) |
| 15:32 | forward | QQQ | put | B0: window, V2: window, F2: window | — | — | — | — | — |
| 15:32 | forward | SPY | put | B0: window, V2: window, F2: window | — | — | — | — | — |
- (1) Record Forward log
Cost model
$0.01 a side and $0.65 a contract a side, on 1-minute OPRA bars; also logged at no costs and at $0.02 a side
- (2) Record Forward log
Cost model
$0.01 a side and $0.65 a contract a side, on 1-minute OPRA bars; a ladder sale is at its level; also logged at no costs and at $0.02 a side
- (3) Record Forward log
Cost model
$0.01 a side and $0.65 a contract a side, on 1-minute OPRA bars; a ladder sale is at its level
Trades opened or closed
39 trades
| Opened | Closed | Account | Strategy | Symbol | Side | Size | Entry | Exit | P&L | Net P&L | Return | Unrealized | Held | Exit by | Status | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | DAILY | v2b's pullback in leading industries | KEYS | long | 13 | 341.57 | — | — | — | — | +$6.63 | — | — | open | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | DAILY | v2b's pullback in leading industries | SNPS | long | 10 | 468.77 | — | — | — | — | −$6.60 | — | — | open | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | DAILY | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | ANET | long | 11 | 185.098182 | — | — | — | — | +$5.30 | — | — | open | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | DAILY | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | DELL | long | 4 | 467.15 | — | — | — | — | +$24.96 | — | — | open | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | DAILY | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | HPE | long | 36 | 58.68 | — | — | — | — | −$1.80 | — | — | open | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | DAILY | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | KEYS | long | 6 | 341.57 | — | — | — | — | +$3.06 | — | — | open | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | DAILY | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | SNPS | long | 4 | 468.77 | — | — | — | — | −$2.64 | — | — | open | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | DAILY | v2b on Alpaca paper | ANET | long | 11 | 185.098182 | — | — | — | — | +$5.30 | — | — | open | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | DAILY | v2b on Alpaca paper | DELL | long | 4 | 467.15 | — | — | — | — | +$24.96 | — | — | open | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | DAILY | v2b on Alpaca paper | HPE | long | 36 | 58.68 | — | — | — | — | −$1.80 | — | — | open | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | DAILY | v2b on Alpaca paper | KEYS | long | 6 | 341.57 | — | — | — | — | +$3.06 | — | — | open | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | DAILY | v2b on Alpaca paper | SNPS | long | 4 | 468.77 | — | — | — | — | −$2.64 | — | — | open | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | INTRA1 | Nasdaq opening-range retest | QQQ | short | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | not entered | Trade journal (2) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | INTRA2 | Noise area | SPY | long | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | rule only | Trade journal (2) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | SIM-V2B-TOM | v2b-TOM | ANET | long | 11 | 185.580002 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | open | Local ledger (3) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | SIM-V2B-TOM | v2b-TOM | DELL | long | 4 | 473.390015 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | open | Local ledger (3) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | SIM-V2B-TOM | v2b-TOM | KEYS | long | 6 | 342.079987 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | open | Local ledger (3) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | SIM-V2B | v2b | ANET | long | 11 | 185.580002 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | open | Local ledger (3) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | SIM-V2B | v2b | DELL | long | 4 | 473.390015 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | open | Local ledger (3) |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | SIM-V2B | v2b | KEYS | long | 6 | 342.079987 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | open | Local ledger (3) |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | DAILY | IBS on SPY and QQQ | QQQ | long | 68 | 728.23 | 728.0628 | −$11.37 | −$12.32 | −0.02% | — | 1 session | exit | closed | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | DAILY | v2b's pullback in leading industries | VRTX | long | 10 | 485.18 | 509.54 | +$243.60 | +$243.46 | +5.02% | — | 2 sessions | close>sma_exit | closed | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | DAILY | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | BNY | long | 15 | 141.0393 | 142.4867 | +$21.71 | +$21.50 | +1.03% | — | 2 sessions | close>sma_exit | closed | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | DAILY | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | VRTX | long | 4 | 485.18 | 509.54 | +$97.44 | +$97.38 | +5.02% | — | 2 sessions | close>sma_exit | closed | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | DAILY | v2b on Alpaca paper | BNY | long | 15 | 141.0393 | 142.4867 | +$21.71 | +$21.50 | +1.03% | — | 2 sessions | close>sma_exit | closed | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | DAILY | v2b on Alpaca paper | VRTX | long | 4 | 485.18 | 509.54 | +$97.44 | +$97.38 | +5.02% | — | 2 sessions | close>sma_exit | closed | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | SIM-V2B-TOM | v2b-TOM | VRTX | long | 4 | 485.220001 | 508.75 | +$93.10 | — | +4.75% | — | — | close>sma_exit | closed | Local ledger (3) |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | SIM-V2B | v2b | VRTX | long | 4 | 485.220001 | 508.75 | +$93.10 | — | +4.75% | — | — | close>sma_exit | closed | Local ledger (3) |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | DAILY | v2b's pullback in leading industries | INCY | long | 44 | 111.54 | 113.242 | +$74.89 | +$74.27 | +1.53% | — | 3 sessions | close>sma_exit | closed | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | DAILY | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | SWKS | long | 28 | 76.7671 | 78.74 | +$55.24 | +$54.85 | +2.57% | — | 4 sessions | close>sma_exit | closed | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | DAILY | v2b on Alpaca paper | SWKS | long | 28 | 76.7671 | 78.74 | +$55.24 | +$54.85 | +2.57% | — | 4 sessions | close>sma_exit | closed | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | SIM-V2B-TOM | v2b-TOM | SWKS | long | 28 | 76.349998 | 79.099998 | +$75.89 | — | +3.50% | — | — | close>sma_exit | closed | Local ledger (3) |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | SIM-V2B | v2b | SWKS | long | 28 | 76.349998 | 79.099998 | +$75.89 | — | +3.50% | — | — | close>sma_exit | closed | Local ledger (3) |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | DAILY | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | PFG | long | 19 | 111.0608 | 108.86 | −$41.82 | −$42.08 | −1.98% | — | 8 sessions | close>sma_exit | closed | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | DAILY | v2b on Alpaca paper | PFG | long | 19 | 111.0608 | 108.86 | −$41.82 | −$42.08 | −1.98% | — | 8 sessions | close>sma_exit | closed | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | SIM-V2B-TOM | v2b-TOM | PFG | long | 19 | 111.029999 | 108.959999 | −$40.37 | — | −1.96% | — | — | close>sma_exit | closed | Local ledger (3) |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | SIM-V2B | v2b | PFG | long | 19 | 111.029999 | 108.959999 | −$40.37 | — | −1.96% | — | — | close>sma_exit | closed | Local ledger (3) |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | DAILY | v2b-TOM on Alpaca paper | INCY | long | 18 | 117.46 | 113.242 | −$75.92 | −$76.18 | −3.59% | — | 10 sessions | close>sma_exit | closed | Trade journal (1) |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Oct 15, 2026 | DAILY | v2b on Alpaca paper | INCY | long | 18 | 117.46 | 113.242 | −$75.92 | −$76.18 | −3.59% | — | 10 sessions | close>sma_exit | closed | Trade journal (1) |
- (1) Record Trade journal
Cost model
Alpaca paper fills, with no commission. In the DAILY account, shares one sub-book buys and another sells at the same close meet inside the account at the official close, and every leg on the larger side gets one average of that price and Alpaca's fill. Alpaca's SEC and CAT fees, charged by the day, are left out. Commission is estimated at $0.007 a share a side, the rate at the owner's own broker: the net P&L is the P&L less it, without dividends; the P&L, the total with dividends, the return and the P&L in basis points of the sub-book are before it. An open trade is marked at the latest official close, before commission, with the dividends paid so far beside it.
- (2) Record Trade journal
Cost model
Alpaca paper fills, with no commission; Alpaca's SEC and CAT fees, charged by the day, are left out. Commission is estimated at $0.007 a share a side, the rate at the owner's own broker: the net P&L is the P&L less it; the P&L, the return, the P&L in basis points of the book and the R multiple are before it. The rule book's day return is the rule's own replay on SIP bars, after the research's own costs: $0.0035 a share a side in commission for the noise area and $0.007 for the other rules, and a cent a share of slippage on every fill except a resting limit order's and the noise area's exit at the close.
- (3) Record Local ledger
Cost model
5 bp a side, filled at the official close. The P&L is after the exit fee only, because the entry fee left the book's cash at entry; the return is after both. Dividends are not credited.