Paper trading, not investment advice. Every account and book on these pages trades paper money: the Alpaca paper accounts DAILY ($1,000,000 from Sep 30, 2026), INTRA1 ($100,000 from Sep 30, 2026) and INTRA2 ($100,000 from Sep 30, 2026); the simulated books SIM-TT ($100,000 from Sep 29, 2026), SIM-V2B ($100,000 from Sep 28, 2026) and SIM-V2B-TOM ($100,000 from Sep 28, 2026), filled at the official close; and market-analysis's ledgers, one contract per position against a $100,000 reporting equity. No real money is at stake. Positions, trades and P&L are published the same day, as the engines record them, with each number's source and cost model labelled. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security, and nothing is tailored to you. Each strategy is a pre-registered experiment, read once on a date or at a trade count fixed in advance; until then its record says little either way. I may hold or have held positions in securities shown here. Markets can and do lose money.

Trade

MPC · v2b's pullback in leading industries

Opened Oct 22, 2026, in DAILY.

The trade

Account: DAILY
Strategy: v2b's pullback in leading industries
Book: o11
Symbol: MPC
Asset class: equity
Side: long
Exposure: long
Status: open
Opened: Oct 22, 2026
Closed: —
Quantity: 9
Entry price: 460.118235
Exit price: —
Exit by: —
Book value at entry: $90,987.11

Record Trade journal

Cost model

Alpaca paper fills, with no commission. In the DAILY account, shares one sub-book buys and another sells at the same close meet inside the account at the official close, and every leg on the larger side gets one average of that price and Alpaca's fill. Alpaca's SEC and CAT fees, charged by the day, are left out. Commission is estimated at $0.007 a share a side, the rate at the owner's own broker: the net P&L is the P&L less it, without dividends; the P&L, the total with dividends, the return and the P&L in basis points of the sub-book are before it. An open trade is marked at the latest official close, before commission, with the dividends paid so far beside it.

Marked

Marked on: Oct 22, 2026
Price: 459.279999
Quantity: 9
Unrealized: −$7.54
Realized: $0.00
Dividends: $0.00
Held: 0

Entry and exit

Role	Date	At (ET)	Side	Qty	Asked	Price	Rule's price	Close	Slippage	Against the close	How	Why	The rule's numbers
entry	Oct 22, 2026	15:58 ET	buy	9	9	460.118235	458.670013	459.279999	+31.6 bp	+18.3 bp	signal	entry rank 1 rsi 5.0	25 trigger numbers adv 860956276.1901855 rsi 4.995186817168998 rank 1 close 458.6700134277344 group XOP spy_sma 723.6133993530274 exit_sma 5 sma_exit 470.69000854492185 tradable true raw_close 458.6700134277344 sma_trend 281.346756362915 spy_close 761.9149780273438 trend_sma 200 candidates 2 free_slots 14 exit_signal false group_leads true entry_signal true leading_from 2026-10-16 spy_trend_on true groups_problem null leading_groups XLE, XOP, IHF, XLV, XLP, IHI rsi_entry_below 10 groups_mapped_at 2026-09-30 max_hold_sessions 10 8 numbers time 15:58:18 sleeve pullback netting buys 17 sells 0 crossed 0 met_inside false under_price 0 account_order sent 17 side buy filled 17 status filled at_limit 17 at_market 0 avg_price 460.118235 bp_vs_close 18.251093514436434 orders_sent 1 snapshot_last_bar 2026-10-22 15:40:47-04:00 final_close_agrees null

Path while held

Span: 0 sessions
High: —
Low: —
Best point (MFE): 0.00%
Worst point (MAE): 0.00%
Bars from: public daily bars

Notes

o11: v2b's RSI(2) pullback in S&P 500 stocks whose sector or industry ETF is among the 6 leading of 29, entered only while SPY is above its 200-day average